# Imperial College on The No Agenda Show

Imperial College comes up in 13 chapters across 12 episodes of The No Agenda Show, from July 2016 to March 2024.

- **Chapters:** 13
- **Episodes:** 12
- **Discussed:** July 2016 – March 2024
- **Related topics:** [Neil Ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [Anthony Fauci](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/anthony-fauci.md), [Bill Gates](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bill-gates.md), [Bird Flu](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bird-flu.md), [Deborah Birx](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/deborah-birx.md), [Lockdown](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/lockdown.md), [Swine Flu](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/swine-flu.md), [Boris Johnson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/boris-johnson.md), [Computer Models](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/computer-models.md), [Covid-19](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/covid-19.md)

## Chapters 1–13 of 13

### Jimmy Dore, Anthony Fauci Herd Immunity Lies

- **Episode:** [1309: Vaxsaline](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1309-vaxsaline.md)
- **Published:** 2024-03-07
- **Time:** 1:12:53–1:16:45
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1309-vaxsaline/chapter/jimmy-dore-anthony-fauci-herd-immunity-lies.md

Progressive commentator Jimmy Dore deconstructs an interview with Anthony Fauci where Fauci admits to "moving the goalposts" on herd immunity percentages based on public polling. Fauci initially cited 60-70% but gradually increased the estimate to 90% as more people expressed willingness to take the vaccine. Dore labels Fauci a "pathological liar" for basing medical advice on social engineering rather than hard science.

Keywords: [jimmy dore](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/jimmy-dore.md), [anthony fauci](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/anthony-fauci.md), [herd immunity](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/herd-immunity.md), [polling](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/polling.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), goalposts

### Imperial College Vaccine Data, Operation Warp Speed

- **Episode:** [1494: Radiation Tsunami](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1494-radiation-tsunami.md)
- **Published:** 2022-10-13
- **Time:** 39:42–43:05
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1494-radiation-tsunami/chapter/imperial-college-vaccine-data-operation-warp-speed.md

Pfizer representatives cited Imperial College data claiming four million lives were saved by the vaccine rollout in its first year. Critics point to the college's history of controversial modeling, including past foot-and-mouth disease projections. The discussion disputes the claim that Pfizer took significant financial risks, noting the massive influx of government cash through programs like Operation Warp Speed.

Keywords: [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [operation warp speed](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/operation-warp-speed.md), [vaccine efficacy](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/vaccine-efficacy.md), [pfizer](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/pfizer.md)

### Professor Neil Ferguson, Imperial College Modeling Critique

- **Episode:** [1439: COVID Retrospective](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1439-covid-retrospective.md)
- **Published:** 2022-04-03
- **Time:** 2:15:14–2:17:54
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1439-covid-retrospective/chapter/professor-neil-ferguson-imperial-college-modeling-critique.md

A critique of Professor Neil Ferguson of Imperial College highlights his history of exaggerated death toll predictions for past outbreaks like bird flu, swine flu, and mad cow disease. Ferguson's models, which influenced the UK government's lockdown policy, were challenged by other scientists for containing serious errors. The report questions why mainstream media has not more rigorously scrutinized Ferguson's accuracy.

Keywords: [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), statistical models, [bird flu](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bird-flu.md), [swine flu](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/swine-flu.md), [covid-19](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/covid-19.md)

### Neil Ferguson Defends Lockdown Models and Timing

- **Episode:** [1250: Noodle Nation](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1250-noodle-nation.md)
- **Published:** 2020-06-14
- **Time:** 14:23–16:21
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1250-noodle-nation/chapter/neil-ferguson-defends-lockdown-models-and-timing.md

Neil Ferguson of Imperial College defended his epidemiological models, asserting that the epidemic was doubling every few days before interventions were introduced. He claimed that implementing lockdown measures just one week earlier could have reduced the final death toll by half. Ferguson maintained that the restrictive measures were warranted despite personal controversies surrounding his own adherence to the rules.

Keywords: [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [lockdown](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/lockdown.md), [death toll](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/death-toll.md), [epidemiology](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/epidemiology.md)

### Neil Ferguson, Imperial College Model and Code Flaws

- **Episode:** [1241: Curtain Wranglers](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1241-curtain-wranglers.md)
- **Published:** 2020-05-14
- **Time:** 37:19–40:33
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1241-curtain-wranglers/chapter/neil-ferguson-imperial-college-model-and-code-flaws.md

The epidemiological model produced by Neil Ferguson at Imperial College, which predicted 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2 million in the US, has come under scrutiny for using 13-year-old undocumented code. Independent reviews suggest the model produces inconsistent results based on hardware and configuration dependencies. Critics compare the reliance on these "mediocre models" to the modeling used in global warming projections.

Keywords: [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [computer models](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/computer-models.md), [lockdown](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/lockdown.md), [global warming](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/global-warming.md)

### Neil Ferguson, Imperial College Model Code Review

- **Episode:** [1240: Meat Must Flow](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1240-meat-must-flow.md)
- **Published:** 2020-05-10
- **Time:** 23:36–27:15
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1240-meat-must-flow/chapter/neil-ferguson-imperial-college-model-code-review.md

Neil Ferguson resigned from the UK's Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) after violating lockdown protocols to meet a romantic partner. A professional code review of Ferguson’s influential pandemic model by the group "Lockdown Skeptics" revealed significant software engineering flaws, including non-repeatable outputs and a lack of regression testing. The review characterized the model as "stochastic," meaning its results are largely determined by random variables.

Keywords: [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), imperial college london, lockdown skeptics, [software engineering](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/software-engineering.md), stochastic modeling

### Neil Ferguson Modeling Failures, Katie Hopkins Critique

- **Episode:** [1238: Sake Stock](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1238-sake-stock.md)
- **Published:** 2020-05-03
- **Time:** 43:58–48:09
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1238-sake-stock/chapter/neil-ferguson-modeling-failures-katie-hopkins-critique.md

Professor Neil Ferguson of Imperial College faced intense scrutiny for his statistical models that predicted high death tolls from COVID-19. Critics, including commentator Katie Hopkins, pointed to Ferguson's history of exaggerated predictions for bird flu, swine flu, and mad cow disease. Despite these past inaccuracies, Ferguson's models remained a primary influence on the UK government's decision to maintain strict lockdown measures.

Keywords: [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [katie hopkins](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/katie-hopkins.md), [bird flu](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bird-flu.md), [swine flu](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/swine-flu.md)

### Criticism of the Imperial College COVID-19 Model

- **Episode:** [1237: Imbleachment](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1237-imbleachment.md)
- **Published:** 2020-04-30
- **Time:** 2:37:24–2:40:59
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1237-imbleachment/chapter/criticism-of-the-imperial-college-covid-19-model.md

Dr. Giesecke criticizes the Imperial College report that led to Boris Johnson's "180-degree turn" and the UK lockdown. He points out that the paper was never peer-reviewed and relied on flawed assumptions that have since been heavily criticized. The hosts conclude that the world has been misled by "bullshit" mathematical models rather than actual science.

Keywords: [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [boris johnson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/boris-johnson.md), [peer review](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/peer-review.md), mathematical models

### Bill Gates and the Global Lockdown Strategy

- **Episode:** [1237: Imbleachment](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1237-imbleachment.md)
- **Published:** 2020-04-30
- **Time:** 2:40:59–2:43:20
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1237-imbleachment/chapter/bill-gates-and-the-global-lockdown-strategy.md

The hosts highlight the extensive funding provided by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation to the organizations producing COVID-19 models, including Imperial College and the University of Washington. They argue that Gates is the primary driver behind the global strategy to remain locked down until a vaccine is available. Adam Curry performs an impression of Gates' "adenoidal" and "whiny" voice.

Keywords: [bill gates](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bill-gates.md), [university of washington](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/university-of-washington.md), [deborah birx](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/deborah-birx.md), [vaccine](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/vaccine.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md)

### Bill Gates, Christopher Murray and IHME Modeling

- **Episode:** [1230: Avocado Cartel](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1230-avocado-cartel.md)
- **Published:** 2020-04-05
- **Time:** 24:00–29:14
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1230-avocado-cartel/chapter/bill-gates-christopher-murray-and-ihme-modeling.md

The White House task force has shifted its reliance from the discredited Imperial College model to data provided by Christopher Murray at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). The IHME is funded primarily by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, leading to concerns about the centralization of pandemic data. Dr. Anthony Fauci and Dr. Deborah Birx have transitioned their public projections to align with these new Gates-funded supercomputer models.

Keywords: [bill gates](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bill-gates.md), [anthony fauci](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/anthony-fauci.md), christopher murray, [ihme](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ihme.md), [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [rhodes scholar](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/rhodes-scholar.md)

### Imperial College Model, Neil Ferguson and COVID-19 Data Adjustments

- **Episode:** [1229: Orange Tongue](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1229-orange-tongue.md)
- **Published:** 2020-04-02
- **Time:** 5:00–10:22
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1229-orange-tongue/chapter/imperial-college-model-neil-ferguson-and-covid-19-data-adjustments.md

Dr. Deborah Birx addressed the media regarding significant downward adjustments to the Imperial College COVID-19 model created by Neil Ferguson. The original projections of 500,000 deaths in the UK and 2.2 million in the US were drastically reduced as real-world data emerged. Birx explained that the high initial estimates relied on assumptions of massive asymptomatic infection rates that have not been observed in the field.

Keywords: [imperial college](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imperial-college.md), [neil ferguson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/neil-ferguson.md), [deborah birx](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/deborah-birx.md), [covid-19 models](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/covid-19-models.md), asymptomatic cases, antibody tests

### Michael Osterholm Joe Rogan Interview and Pandemic Modeling

- **Episode:** [1228: Stunning](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1228-stunning.md)
- **Published:** 2020-03-29
- **Time:** 20:54–25:23
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1228-stunning/chapter/michael-osterholm-joe-rogan-interview-and-pandemic-modeling.md

The hosts revisit a March 10 interview between Joe Rogan and infectious disease expert Michael Osterholm. They criticize Osterholm's reliance on the Imperial College model, which predicted 48 million hospitalizations and 480,000 deaths in the United States. The discussion characterizes these projections as fear-mongering and compares the current COVID-19 death toll to seasonal influenza.

Keywords: [michael osterholm](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/michael-osterholm.md), [joe rogan](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/joe-rogan.md), imperial college model, pandemic modeling, [influenza](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/influenza.md), [infection rates](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/infection-rates.md), [fatalities](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/fatalities.md)

### Zika Virus Transmission and Epidemic Projections

- **Episode:** [843: Save the Date](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/843-save-the-date.md)
- **Published:** 2016-07-17
- **Time:** 2:43:10–2:44:56
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/843-save-the-date/chapter/zika-virus-transmission-and-epidemic-projections.md

New York City health officials reported the first suspected case of female-to-male sexual transmission of the Zika virus. Meanwhile, researchers at Imperial College London released a computer model suggesting the Zika epidemic in Latin America will likely burn itself out within three years as populations develop immunity.

Keywords: [zika virus](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/zika-virus.md), [new york city](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/new-york-city.md), imperial college london, [latin america](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/latin-america.md), [epidemic](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/epidemic.md)

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