# Election Predictions on The No Agenda Show

Election Predictions comes up in 10 chapters across 10 episodes of The No Agenda Show, from September 2008 to February 2025.

- **Chapters:** 10
- **Episodes:** 10
- **Discussed:** September 2008 – February 2025
- **Related topics:** [Predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md), [Barack Obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [Donald Trump](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/donald-trump.md), [Mitt Romney](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/mitt-romney.md), [Rick Santorum](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/rick-santorum.md), [Ron Paul](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ron-paul.md), [2012 Election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2012-election.md), [2016 Election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2016-election.md), [5150](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/5150.md), [Barbara Boxer](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barbara-boxer.md)

## Chapters 1–10 of 10

### Season of Reveal Jingles and Election Predictions

- **Episode:** [1738: Swasticars](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1738-swasticars.md)
- **Published:** 2025-02-13
- **Time:** 2:39:53–2:42:27
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1738-swasticars/chapter/season-of-reveal-jingles-and-election-predictions.md

The show introduces the "Season of Reveal" theme with various listener-submitted jingles. A featured clip shows a commentator predicting that Kamala Harris will ultimately be revealed as the true winner of the 2024 election. The hosts use these clips to illustrate the ongoing "delusional" narratives in political media.

Keywords: [season of reveal](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/season-of-reveal.md), [kamala harris](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/kamala-harris.md), [election 2024](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/election-2024.md), [jingles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/jingles.md), [predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md)

### Barbara Boxer Anecdote, Obama Electability Error

- **Episode:** [1012: Value Convo](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1012-value-convo.md)
- **Published:** 2018-03-01
- **Time:** 2:23:33–2:27:02
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1012-value-convo/chapter/barbara-boxer-anecdote-obama-electability-error.md

A listener's note recalls a past prediction where one of the hosts claimed Barack Obama was "unelectable" prior to his 2008 victory. The segment also includes a brief anecdote about former Senator Barbara Boxer and the "5150" police code for mental health holds.

Keywords: [barbara boxer](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barbara-boxer.md), [barack obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [5150](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/5150.md), [north carolina](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/north-carolina.md), [electability](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/electability.md), [predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md)

### Trump Election Prediction Compilation

- **Episode:** [888: Dutch Trump](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/888-dutch-trump.md)
- **Published:** 2016-12-22
- **Time:** 3:16:48–3:21:15
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/888-dutch-trump/chapter/trump-election-prediction-compilation.md

A compilation of media figures and politicians, including President Obama, predicting that Donald Trump would never become president is played. The hosts note that they have played similar clips before but find the "golden Bible" and "spaceships with dinosaurs" comments particularly amusing in hindsight.

Keywords: [donald trump](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/donald-trump.md), [election predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/election-predictions.md), [barack obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [media](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/media.md), washington free beacon

### Professor Helmut Norpoth Predicts Trump Victory

- **Episode:** [872: Kinetic Kill](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/872-kinetic-kill.md)
- **Published:** 2016-10-27
- **Time:** 1:06:24–1:10:09
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/872-kinetic-kill/chapter/professor-helmut-norpoth-predicts-trump-victory.md

Stony Brook University Professor Helmut Norpoth discusses his "Primary Model," which predicts a Donald Trump victory based on primary performance and historical cycles. Norpoth notes that the candidate who performs better in their party's primaries almost always wins the general election. He also mentions having placed a legal bet on his prediction through the Iowa Electronic Markets, standing apart from mainstream pollsters.

Keywords: helmut norpoth, stony brook university, primary model, iowa electronic markets, election prediction

### Club 33, Hillary Clinton Presidency Predictions, Bot Skepticism

- **Episode:** [603: Revolution of Dignity](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/603-revolution-of-dignity.md)
- **Published:** 2014-12-06
- **Time:** 1:56:35–1:58:47
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/603-revolution-of-dignity/chapter/club-33-hillary-clinton-presidency-predictions-bot-skepticism.md

Adam and John discuss "Club 33" donations and the "600 series" of the podcast. Adam reiterates his prediction that Hillary Clinton will be the next president, despite skepticism from his "bot friends" who find her "nutty." They joke about a "flash mob" at the club to avoid police scrutiny.

Keywords: [club 33](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/club-33.md), [hillary clinton](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/hillary-clinton.md), [2016 election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2016-election.md), [flash mob](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/flash-mob.md), [predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md)

### New Hampshire Primary Predictions Review and Results

- **Episode:** [373: Paraphilia](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/373-paraphilia.md)
- **Published:** 2012-01-12
- **Time:** 2:23–4:20
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/373-paraphilia/chapter/new-hampshire-primary-predictions-review-and-results.md

The hosts review their previous predictions regarding the New Hampshire primary results. While they correctly anticipated a Mitt Romney victory and a strong showing for Ron Paul, they analyze the specific percentages and the performance of candidates like Jon Huntsman and Rick Santorum. Ron Paul's actual 23% finish exceeded their initial 15-18% estimate.

Keywords: [mitt romney](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/mitt-romney.md), [ron paul](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ron-paul.md), [rick santorum](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/rick-santorum.md), [new hampshire primary](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/new-hampshire-primary.md), [election predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/election-predictions.md)

### Presidential X-Factor Reality Show, Iowa Caucus Predictions

- **Episode:** [371: Dead Herring in Norway!](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/371-dead-herring-in-norway.md)
- **Published:** 2012-01-05
- **Time:** 2:47
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/371-dead-herring-in-norway/chapter/presidential-x-factor-reality-show-iowa-caucus-predictions.md

Adam Curry and John C. Dvorak open the program from Austin, Texas, and Northern Silicon Valley. They review Dvorak's successful predictions regarding the Iowa Caucus results, where he accurately forecasted a Mitt Romney victory followed by Rick Santorum and Ron Paul. The hosts characterize the political process as a scripted reality show designed for television ratings.

Keywords: [iowa caucus](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/iowa-caucus.md), [mitt romney](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/mitt-romney.md), [rick santorum](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/rick-santorum.md), [ron paul](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ron-paul.md), [presidential election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/presidential-election.md), [predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md)

### Donald Trump Presidential Run Prediction Retrospective

- **Episode:** [305: Last Show Ever](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/305-last-show-ever.md)
- **Published:** 2011-05-19
- **Time:** 50:32–53:24
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/305-last-show-ever/chapter/donald-trump-presidential-run-prediction-retrospective.md

The hosts revisit their conflicting predictions regarding Donald Trump's potential 2012 presidential run. John Dvorak notes that he correctly predicted Trump would not run, while Adam Curry admits his prediction changed following the killing of Osama bin Laden, which shifted the political and media landscape.

Keywords: [donald trump](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/donald-trump.md), [barack obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [osama bin laden](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/osama-bin-laden.md), [2012 election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2012-election.md), [predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md)

### European Parliament Election, Voter Turnout Predictions

- **Episode:** [102: Bizarre Sex Crime](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/102-bizarre-sex-crime.md)
- **Published:** 2009-06-07
- **Time:** 15:18–16:51
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/102-bizarre-sex-crime/chapter/european-parliament-election-voter-turnout-predictions.md

The hosts review their previous predictions for the European Parliament election voter turnout. While Adam Curry predicted 28%, the actual consensus reached approximately 38%, closer to John C. Dvorak's estimate of 39%. They discuss the possibility of official numbers being manipulated to avoid showing extremely low engagement.

Keywords: [european parliament](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/european-parliament.md), [voter turnout](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/voter-turnout.md), [elections](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/elections.md), [google](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/google.md), [predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/predictions.md)

### Election Predictions, Landslide Theories

- **Episode:** [47: Kill Bill](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/47-kill-bill.md)
- **Published:** 2008-09-13
- **Time:** 1:27:45–1:30:07
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/47-kill-bill/chapter/election-predictions-landslide-theories.md

Prominent figures on both sides of the political aisle are predicting a landslide victory for their respective candidates. Salman Rushdie and Janeane Garofalo expressed certainty of an Obama landslide on Bill Maher's program, while Rush Limbaugh suggests McCain could win decisively. The hosts analyze these conflicting "echo chamber" predictions as the election nears.

Keywords: [bill maher](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bill-maher.md), [salman rushdie](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/salman-rushdie.md), [janeane garofalo](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/janeane-garofalo.md), [rush limbaugh](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/rush-limbaugh.md), [election predictions](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/election-predictions.md)

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