# Economic Cycle on The No Agenda Show

Economic Cycle comes up in 33 chapters across 30 episodes of The No Agenda Show, from May 2008 to January 2022.

- **Chapters:** 33
- **Episodes:** 30
- **Discussed:** May 2008 – January 2022
- **Related topics:** [1857 Depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/1857-depression.md), [40-year Cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/40-year-cycle.md), [Barack Obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [Cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/cycles.md), [Economic Collapse](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-collapse.md), [Economic Depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-depression.md), [Gold](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/gold.md), [Herbert Hoover](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/herbert-hoover.md), [Quantitative Easing](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/quantitative-easing.md), [Stock Market](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/stock-market.md)

## Chapters 1–20 of 33

### Federal Reserve History, 10-Year Economic Cycles

- **Episode:** [1413: Flurona](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1413-flurona.md)
- **Published:** 2022-01-03
- **Time:** 1:03:22–1:05:56
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1413-flurona/chapter/federal-reserve-history-10-year-economic-cycles.md

The Federal Reserve is criticized as a "criminal banking system" established in 1913 under President Woodrow Wilson. Historical analysis suggests that major global events, such as wars or pandemics, occur roughly every ten years to "clear the books" and reset the financial system. This cycle includes 9/11 and the current pandemic as pivotal moments for fiscal control.

Keywords: [federal reserve](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/federal-reserve.md), [woodrow wilson](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/woodrow-wilson.md), [economic cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycle.md), [9/11](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/9-11.md), [world war i](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/world-war-i.md)

### Economic Cycles and Jim Acosta, Virtue Signaling

- **Episode:** [1072: Adultism is Real](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1072-adultism-is-real.md)
- **Published:** 2018-09-27
- **Time:** 23:23–26:04
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/1072-adultism-is-real/chapter/economic-cycles-and-jim-acosta-virtue-signaling.md

The current bull market is analyzed against historical 10-year and 80-year economic cycles, referencing the 1907 and 1987 crashes. Jim Acosta is criticized for "virtue signaling" during a press conference by suggesting the President call on more female reporters after he finished his own questioning.

Keywords: [economic cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycle.md), 1907 crash, [jim acosta](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/jim-acosta.md), [virtue signaling](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/virtue-signaling.md), [bull market](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/bull-market.md)

### Presidential Cycles and the 40-Year Cusp

- **Episode:** [845: Kaine & Unable](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/845-kaine-unable.md)
- **Published:** 2016-07-24
- **Time:** 32:21–35:26
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/845-kaine-unable/chapter/presidential-cycles-and-the-40-year-cusp.md

Historical analysis suggests that "great" presidents like Ronald Reagan and Franklin D. Roosevelt often fall on a specific 40-year cycle cusp. While Jimmy Carter was caught in a 10-year downturn starting in 1969, Reagan benefited from the subsequent upcycle. The theory posits that whoever wins the 2016 election will face a significant economic downturn or collapse unless they can navigate the cycle's transition.

Keywords: [ronald reagan](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ronald-reagan.md), [franklin d. roosevelt](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/franklin-d-roosevelt.md), [jimmy carter](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/jimmy-carter.md), [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [40-year cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/40-year-cycle.md)

### Economic Cycles, 2017 Depression Forecast

- **Episode:** [837: Open the Chunnel!](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/837-open-the-chunnel.md)
- **Published:** 2016-06-27
- **Time:** 1:24:05–1:27:08
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/837-open-the-chunnel/chapter/economic-cycles-2017-depression-forecast.md

John C. Dvorak revisits his theory of a 40-year economic cycle, predicting a major depression in late 2016 or 2017. He suggests that while Brexit caused a temporary market drop, it may not be the final triggering event. Future referendums in countries like Sweden (Swexit) or the Netherlands (Nexit) are identified as potential catalysts for a larger collapse.

Keywords: [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/depression.md), [40-year cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/40-year-cycle.md), [market crash](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/market-crash.md), [tom hartmann](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/tom-hartmann.md)

### Republican Strategy and the Economic Cycle Theory

- **Episode:** [813: Clinton Condign](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/813-clinton-condign.md)
- **Published:** 2016-04-07
- **Time:** 1:41:25–1:44:28
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/813-clinton-condign/chapter/republican-strategy-and-the-economic-cycle-theory.md

John C. Dvorak posits a theory that the Republican establishment may want Hillary Clinton to win to avoid being in power during an imminent economic collapse. Citing 40 and 80-year cycles of depression, he compares a potential Clinton presidency to the one-term failures of Jimmy Carter and Herbert Hoover. The hosts suggest the GOP might prefer a "shitty" Democratic president to take the blame for a financial crisis.

Keywords: [hillary clinton](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/hillary-clinton.md), [ted cruz](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ted-cruz.md), [donald trump](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/donald-trump.md), [economic depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-depression.md), [jimmy carter](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/jimmy-carter.md), [herbert hoover](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/herbert-hoover.md), [80-year cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/80-year-cycle.md)

### Economic Cycles and the 2017 Downturn Prediction

- **Episode:** [807: Thanks Obama!](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/807-thanks-obama.md)
- **Published:** 2016-03-13
- **Time:** 1:25:09–1:30:55
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/807-thanks-obama/chapter/economic-cycles-and-the-2017-downturn-prediction.md

An analysis of historical economic cycles, specifically the Panic of 1857 and the 1970s stagflation, suggests a major market downturn is likely in 2017. The current era of quantitative easing is compared to the 1849 gold rush, with predictions that the eventual collapse will be a significant buying opportunity for real estate and stocks.

Keywords: [economic cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycle.md), [1857 depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/1857-depression.md), [1977](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/1977.md), howard ruff, [quantitative easing](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/quantitative-easing.md)

### 2016 Election Cycle, Economic Collapse Theory, Show Outro

- **Episode:** [732: Psych!](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/732-psych.md)
- **Published:** 2015-06-21
- **Time:** 2:54:52–3:00:48
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/732-psych/chapter/2016-election-cycle-economic-collapse-theory-show-outro.md

The hosts conclude the episode with a prediction that the 2016 election winner will be a one-term president due to an impending economic collapse similar to 1857. They suggest that a "great" president, possibly Trump, will emerge in the 2020 cycle, following historical 40-year patterns. The show signs off with a montage of "bomb them" clips and a final reminder to support the show via Dvorak.org/NA.

Keywords: [2016 election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2016-election.md), [economic collapse](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-collapse.md), [elizabeth warren](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/elizabeth-warren.md), [ronald reagan](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/ronald-reagan.md), [cycle theory](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/cycle-theory.md), [sign-off](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/sign-off.md)

### Real Estate Cycles, Economic Depression and Urban Migration

- **Episode:** [695: Democritate](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/695-democritate.md)
- **Published:** 2015-02-12
- **Time:** 19:11–21:59
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/695-democritate/chapter/real-estate-cycles-economic-depression-and-urban-migration.md

A theory on economic cycles suggests a potential depression within two years that could lead to a collapse in real estate and rent prices, particularly in overbuilt markets like San Francisco. Advice is given to accumulate cash and wait for this market correction before attempting to purchase property in expensive urban centers like New York City.

Keywords: [real estate](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/real-estate.md), [san francisco](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/san-francisco.md), [new york](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/new-york.md), [economic cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycle.md), [rent prices](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/rent-prices.md)

### Thom Hartmann, The Crash of 2016 and Economic Cycles

- **Episode:** [565: Spy in a Bag](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/565-spy-in-a-bag.md)
- **Published:** 2013-11-14
- **Time:** 1:52–5:49
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/565-spy-in-a-bag/chapter/thom-hartmann-the-crash-of-2016-and-economic-cycles.md

Thom Hartmann is accused of usurping economic cycle theories previously discussed on the program in his new book, The Crash of 2016. A clip from Democracy Now features Hartmann discussing historical parallels between the 1927 housing market and current economic conditions under the Obama administration. The hosts critique Hartmann's assertion that government intervention can prevent inevitable economic cycles, comparing such attempts to trying to stop the sun from rising.

Keywords: [thom hartmann](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/thom-hartmann.md), [amy goodman](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/amy-goodman.md), [democracy now](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/democracy-now.md), [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), the crash of 2016, [herbert hoover](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/herbert-hoover.md), [barack obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [quantitative easing](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/quantitative-easing.md)

### Economic Panic of 1847, Railway Bubble, 2017 Forecast

- **Episode:** [535: Swivel-Chair Speed](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/535-swivel-chair-speed.md)
- **Published:** 2013-08-01
- **Time:** 1:25:23–1:26:58
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/535-swivel-chair-speed/chapter/economic-panic-of-1847-railway-bubble-2017-forecast.md

The Panic of 1847, caused by a collapse in the British railway industry, is identified as a historical parallel to the 2007 housing bubble. Based on 80-year and 170-year economic cycles, a major global collapse is predicted for 2017. This cycle theory suggests that the world may avoid a total collapse in the immediate term but will face a significant downturn in three to four years.

Keywords: panic of 1847, railway boom, [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [2017](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2017.md), [housing bubble](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/housing-bubble.md)

### Economic Cycles, 1857 Depression and Oil Wealth

- **Episode:** [489: Eat a Baseball](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/489-eat-a-baseball.md)
- **Published:** 2013-02-21
- **Time:** 1:32:48–1:40:21
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/489-eat-a-baseball/chapter/economic-cycles-1857-depression-and-oil-wealth.md

John C. Dvorak presents his thesis on 40-year and 80-year economic depression cycles, comparing the current era to the 1850s. He argues that the discovery of shale gas and oil in the U.S. is acting as a temporary wealth influx similar to the 1849 Gold Rush, potentially delaying a major crash until 2017. The discussion covers the historical depression of 1857 and a predicted global conflagration in 2020.

Keywords: [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [gold](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/gold.md), [shale gas](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/shale-gas.md), [1857 depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/1857-depression.md), 2017 crash

### Economic Cycles, Shale Oil Gold Rush

- **Episode:** [486: Bondpocalypse](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/486-bondpocalypse.md)
- **Published:** 2013-02-10
- **Time:** 1:51:28–1:55:11
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/486-bondpocalypse/chapter/economic-cycles-shale-oil-gold-rush.md

A theory is presented comparing the current U.S. shale oil and natural gas boom to the 1850s Gold Rush. The hosts suggest this influx of "free money" from energy resources might delay a total economic collapse until approximately 2017.

Keywords: [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [shale oil](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/shale-oil.md), [fracking](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/fracking.md), [gold rush](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/gold-rush.md), 2017 collapse

### Economic Depression Cycles, Mayan Calendar, and Dutch Street Organs

- **Episode:** [468: Meat Hands](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/468-meat-hands.md)
- **Published:** 2012-12-09
- **Time:** 12:49–16:44
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/468-meat-hands/chapter/economic-depression-cycles-mayan-calendar-and-dutch-street-organs.md

John C. Dvorak discusses the psychological impact of the 40-year economic depression cycle, while Adam Curry mentions the upcoming end of the Mayan calendar on December 21, 2012. Curry shares an anecdote about a traditional Dutch street organ in an Amsterdam market playing "Havah Nagila" and Turkish music instead of traditional Dutch tunes. They also clarify that Dutch "coffee shops" remain open to foreigners despite rumors of a "weed pass" restriction.

Keywords: [mayan calendar](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/mayan-calendar.md), [economic depression](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-depression.md), [40-year cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/40-year-cycle.md), street organ, [amsterdam](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/amsterdam.md), havah nagila

### Economic Cycles, 2017 Collapse and 2020 Drone War Prediction

- **Episode:** [464: Iron Key](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/464-iron-key.md)
- **Published:** 2012-11-25
- **Time:** 2:04:06–2:09:34
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/464-iron-key/chapter/economic-cycles-2017-collapse-and-2020-drone-war-prediction.md

A theory of 80-year historical cycles predicts a major "dislocation" or war in 2020, following the patterns of the American Revolution, the Civil War, and World War II. The hosts anticipate a secondary economic collapse in 2017, followed by a period of growth. They speculate that the next major conflict will be a "cyber war" involving attacks on the power grid and potentially a domestic false flag event in 2013.

Keywords: [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [2017](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2017.md), [2020](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2020.md), [civil war](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/civil-war.md), [cyber war](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/cyber-war.md), [false flag](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/false-flag.md)

### Economic Collapse Predictions and 1893 Cycle Comparison

- **Episode:** [458: Punch a Puppy!](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/458-punch-a-puppy.md)
- **Published:** 2012-11-04
- **Time:** 2:18:45–2:22:38
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/458-punch-a-puppy/chapter/economic-collapse-predictions-and-1893-cycle-comparison.md

John Dvorak predicts an economic collapse in March 2013, drawing parallels to the panic of 1893. He suggests that the "fiscal cliff" and a lack of cooperation in Washington will trigger a major downturn following Obama's re-election. Adam Curry expresses concern about his own financial stability in Texas if these predictions come true.

Keywords: [economic collapse](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-collapse.md), 1893, [fiscal cliff](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/fiscal-cliff.md), [barack obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/cycles.md)

### IMF Economic Forecasts and Christine Lagarde's Housing Claims

- **Episode:** [449: Deficit Pending](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/449-deficit-pending.md)
- **Published:** 2012-10-04
- **Time:** 1:08:59–1:14:43
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/449-deficit-pending/chapter/imf-economic-forecasts-and-christine-lagarde-s-housing-claims.md

IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard predicts the global economic crisis will last until at least 2018, aligning with John C. Dvorak's long-wave cycle theories. Conversely, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde claims the U.S. housing market has "bottomed up" and is showing signs of recovery. Dvorak dismisses Lagarde's optimism, arguing that housing cycles are distinct from broader economic health and that the "Great Recession" meme is being used to mask structural failures.

Keywords: [christine lagarde](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/christine-lagarde.md), olivier blanchard, [imf](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imf.md), [great recession](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/great-recession.md), [housing market](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/housing-market.md), [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md), [unemployment](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/unemployment.md)

### Economic Cycle Theory, 2020 World War Prediction

- **Episode:** [443: Bad Actors](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/443-bad-actors.md)
- **Published:** 2012-09-13
- **Time:** 2:03:23–2:10:01
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/443-bad-actors/chapter/economic-cycle-theory-2020-world-war-prediction.md

Analysis of historical economic cycles suggests a major systemic collapse may occur in October 2012 or 2013, potentially leading to a global conflict by 2020. The Federal Reserve's policy of purchasing $40 billion in debt monthly is viewed as an insufficient measure to prevent this inevitable downturn. Historical 80-year cycles of major American wars—1776, 1861, and 1941—point toward a significant conflagration in the early 2020s.

Keywords: [economic cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycle.md), [federal reserve](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/federal-reserve.md), [gold](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/gold.md), [2020](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2020.md), [world war](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/world-war.md)

### 2012 Presidential Election, Economic Reset, Paul Ryan

- **Episode:** [434: Tripwire](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/434-tripwire.md)
- **Published:** 2012-08-12
- **Time:** 40:50–43:57
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/434-tripwire/chapter/2012-presidential-election-economic-reset-paul-ryan.md

The selection of Paul Ryan as Mitt Romney's running mate is analyzed as a potential strategic move to lose the election. Predictions suggest a major economic dislocation will occur after 2012, making the upcoming presidential term undesirable for either party. The GOP is characterized as positioning itself for a "reset" in 2016 or 2020.

Keywords: [paul ryan](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/paul-ryan.md), [mitt romney](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/mitt-romney.md), [barack obama](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/barack-obama.md), [2012 election](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/2012-election.md), [economic cycle](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycle.md), [gop](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/gop.md)

### Economic Cycle Theories, 2013 Collapse and George Soros

- **Episode:** [408: Odious Debt](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/408-odious-debt.md)
- **Published:** 2012-05-13
- **Time:** 2:09:17–2:13:35
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/408-odious-debt/chapter/economic-cycle-theories-2013-collapse-and-george-soros.md

The hosts discuss the potential for a major economic collapse in 2013 or 2017 based on historical cycles and the massive scale of the derivatives market. George Soros is cited regarding the failure of traditional economic theory to account for human behavior and imperfect knowledge. Farmland is suggested as a potential hedge against a systemic financial failure.

Keywords: [george soros](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/george-soros.md), [economic collapse](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-collapse.md), [derivatives](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/derivatives.md), [farmland](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/farmland.md), [cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/cycles.md)

### Christine Lagarde, IMF Economic Outlook, Potential Social Unrest

- **Episode:** [360: Pencil of Promise](https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/360-pencil-of-promise.md)
- **Published:** 2011-11-27
- **Time:** 13:46–19:58
- **Transcript:** https://search.noagendashow.net/episode/360-pencil-of-promise/chapter/christine-lagarde-imf-economic-outlook-potential-social-unrest.md

IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde appeared on 60 Minutes to discuss the ongoing global economic crisis as a continuum of the 2008 collapse. She warned of stalled growth, high unemployment, and potential social unrest. Analysis suggests that restrictive new laws are being passed in anticipation of a complete financial meltdown and subsequent civil instability.

Keywords: [christine lagarde](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/christine-lagarde.md), [imf](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/imf.md), [60 minutes](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/60-minutes.md), [social unrest](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/social-unrest.md), [economic cycles](https://search.noagendashow.net/topic/economic-cycles.md)

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